I received a single reaction concerning ADM-DM series, from a friend; she reproached to my presentation to be too much « preset »:
[translated]…, it isn’t fair to use constant food concentration, preset velo-jump intensities and a particular ratio between the velo-jumps due to d1-d2 and d1-d2-d3. Make them random.
A short discussion followed and she accepted that it is fair to diminish complexity for simple models. Then she argued that it wasn’t « elegant« .
Arguing about elegance isn’t what I expected, then I spend
a few minutes my precious time to see how I would add randomness for food concentration and velo-jumps. As it was quite easy, Despite the fact that it was extremely painful, I’ve done it to please the lady.
- food density varies: df = f ± 0,4 * f and according the optimal value of velocity, for each generation of Specs,
- and velo-jumps intensity is random,
- and the effect of d1-d2 don’t influence the one of d1-d2-d3.
I made a hundred runs, overlaid the graphs and sent the image to her. The reaction was almost immediate
wha! quite cute, may I have the same with red rather then blue lines?
While I was preparing and sending the Photoshop file to SunG, so she could fix the colors as she likes them (because there are several reds!), I was reading Behe’s « A Response to the Opinion of the Court in Kitzmiller vs Dover Area School District » and was at point 13.
(13) As a further example, the test for ID proposed by both Professors Behe and Minnich is to grow the bacterial flagellum in the laboratory; however, no-one inside or outside of the IDM, including those who propose the test, has conducted it. (P-718; 18:125-27 (Behe); 22:10206 (Behe)).
If I conducted such an experiment and no flagellum were evolved, what Darwinist would believe me? What Darwinist would take that as evidence for my claims that Darwinism is wrong and ID is right? As I testified to the Court, Kenneth Miller claimed there was experimental evidence showing that complex biochemical systems could evolve by random mutation and natural selection, and he pointed to the work of Barry Hall on the lac operon. I explained in great detail to the Court why Miller was exaggerating, was incorrect, and made claims that Barry Hall himself never did. However, no Darwinist I am aware of subsequently took Hall’s experiments as evidence against Darwinism. Neither did the Court mention it in its opinion.
The flagellum experiment the Court described above is one that, if successful, would strongly affirm Darwinian claims, and so should have been attempted long ago by one or more of the many, many adherents of Darwinism in the scientific community. That none of them has tried such an experiment, and that similar experiments that were tried on other molecular systems have failed, should count heavily against their theory.
What kind of cognitive impairment strikes IDers, Behe included and given a place of honor as he is a biochemist, to be unable to understand that the probability to reach the same result is extremely low?
Given enough time and money one can expect to build an experiment where some motility system will be seeing evolving; something not even remotely similar to the flagellum, but having the same function, provide motility. And those ressources, time, money and educated people, needed to carry out the experiment, are much better used to develop vaccines, biofuels, bioproducted and biodegradable plastic etc.
Take a look at this detail of the figure to get the feeling if you can’t understand the probabilities calculation:
A single gene, a single selection factor and something close to 4*108 possible paths without taking in account the variations of intensity of the velo-jumps.
If you understand the model it’s enough to not even try, not even imagine that one would ask for such an idiot movement.
It would be as if you spent your life making Lotto draws to verify that calculated probabilities meet the fact that a guy named Guy, living at Place and born 100 years later Darwin’s death, won the special-super-hyper-uber Lotto last week. Simulation different guys, with different names, different hair cuts, living at various places etc.
Damn idiot, isn’t it?
Now, it would be interesting if Behe stopped talking nonsense and spend the rest of his life trying to either obtain de novo a flagellum (damn idiot but this could keep him quite) of if he tried to understand what he is talking about (some people may think that this is harder the flagellum experiment).